Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 3.130634e-05 0.000037 0.000043 0.000051 0.000059 0.000067 0.000077
2025-03-16 2.337309e-05 0.000031 0.000039 0.000049 0.000062 0.000075 0.000092
2025-03-23 1.850400e-05 0.000027 0.000036 0.000049 0.000065 0.000083 0.000106
2025-03-30 1.494293e-05 0.000023 0.000034 0.000049 0.000067 0.000089 0.000118
2025-04-06 1.186502e-05 0.000020 0.000031 0.000047 0.000068 0.000093 0.000127
2025-04-13 9.030577e-06 0.000017 0.000028 0.000044 0.000066 0.000095 0.000133
2025-04-20 7.162424e-06 0.000015 0.000026 0.000043 0.000066 0.000097 0.000140
2025-04-27 5.995998e-06 0.000013 0.000025 0.000042 0.000068 0.000102 0.000150
2025-05-04 5.069617e-06 0.000012 0.000024 0.000042 0.000070 0.000108 0.000160
2025-05-11 4.711748e-06 0.000012 0.000024 0.000044 0.000075 0.000117 0.000177
2025-05-18 3.984235e-06 0.000011 0.000023 0.000044 0.000077 0.000122 0.000187
2025-05-25 3.088501e-06 0.000009 0.000021 0.000042 0.000075 0.000122 0.000191
2025-06-01 2.365875e-06 0.000008 0.000020 0.000041 0.000076 0.000126 0.000200
2025-06-08 1.799678e-06 0.000007 0.000018 0.000040 0.000076 0.000130 0.000210
2025-06-15 1.402144e-06 0.000006 0.000018 0.000040 0.000078 0.000135 0.000222
2025-06-22 1.074405e-06 0.000006 0.000017 0.000039 0.000079 0.000140 0.000233
2025-06-29 7.626385e-07 0.000005 0.000015 0.000038 0.000079 0.000142 0.000241
2025-07-06 4.748297e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000036 0.000076 0.000141 0.000244
2025-07-13 3.109527e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000034 0.000076 0.000143 0.000250
2025-07-20 2.237526e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000034 0.000077 0.000148 0.000262
2025-07-27 1.605049e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000034 0.000079 0.000153 0.000274
2025-08-03 1.439404e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000036 0.000084 0.000164 0.000295
2025-08-10 9.882464e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000036 0.000085 0.000169 0.000307